Cameron Smotherman vs Tariq Ismail
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-7-0Record8-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
69"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Metro Fight Club· 1615 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamBazooka Kickboxing & MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1618
If they lose-16→ 1586
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1604 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cameron SmothermanTariq Ismail
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cameron Smotherman62%
Tariq Ismail 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Cameron Smotherman a 62% favorite over Tariq Ismail in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1602 vs 1599), separated by just 3 points.
Cameron Smotherman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Cameron Smotherman finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Tariq Ismail 13%.
Cameron Smotherman carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.