Combat Edge Intelligence

Cameron Stewart vs Dave Kaplan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dave Kaplan
us

Dave Kaplan

“Diamond”

3-4-0LightweightTPF

1453Average

Tale of the tape

1-3-0Record3-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'6"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Sure GripTeamTeam Tompkins

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cameron StewartNow 1461
If they win+23→ 1484
If they lose-25→ 1436
Dave KaplanNow 1453
If they win+25→ 1478
If they lose-23→ 1430

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1493 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.88
TBD
Strike accuracy
46%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.32
TBD
Strike defense
68%
TBD
Takedown avg.
4.88
TBD
Takedown accuracy
44%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.70

Trajectory

Cameron StewartDave Kaplan
1450150020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (67%)
1 (100%)
Submission
1 (33%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Cameron Stewart66%
Dave Kaplan 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Cameron Stewart a 66% favorite over Dave Kaplan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1461 vs 1453), separated by just 8 points.

Dave Kaplan 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.