Cameron Stewart vs Gilbert Rael
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-3-0Record1-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Sure GripTeamTBD
What's at stake
Cameron Stewart is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Gilbert Rael carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1483
If they lose-26→ 1435
If they win+26→ 1459
If they lose-22→ 1411
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1493 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cameron StewartGilbert Rael
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cameron Stewart84%
Gilbert Rael 16%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Cameron Stewart a 84% favorite over Gilbert Rael in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Cameron Stewart holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1461 to 1433, a 28-point edge.
Gilbert Rael enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.