Combat Edge Intelligence

Cameron Stewart vs Leonardo Mafra

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

1-3-0Record15-7-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Sure GripTeamKings MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cameron StewartNow 1461
If they win+25→ 1486
If they lose-23→ 1438
Leonardo MafraNow 1473
If they win+23→ 1496
If they lose-25→ 1448

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1493 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.55
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.38
TBD
Strike defense
44%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.12
TBD
Takedown accuracy
83%
TBD
Takedown defense
69%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.42

Trajectory

Cameron StewartLeonardo Mafra
14501500201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
9 (60%)
1 (100%)
Submission
1 (7%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Cameron Stewart66%
Leonardo Mafra 34%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Cameron Stewart a 66% favorite over Leonardo Mafra in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Leonardo Mafra's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1461 vs 1473), separated by just 12 points.

Leonardo Mafra 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.