Combat Edge Intelligence

Camillo Avellan vs Jonathan Martin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-0-0Record9-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'11"
-Reach71.5"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
H2O MMA· 1644 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamCarolina Combat Sports and Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Camillo AvellanNow 1626
If they win+24→ 1650
If they lose-24→ 1602
Jonathan MartinNow 1625
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1528 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Camillo AvellanJonathan Martin
1550160020252026

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
1 (20%)
Submission
5 (56%)
2 (40%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Camillo Avellan and Jonathan Martin within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1626 vs 1625), separated by just 1 points.

Camillo Avellan enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Camillo Avellan finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Jonathan Martin 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.