Camillo Avellan vs Wilson Lopshire
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-0-0Record7-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'11"
-Reach72"
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
H2O MMATeam Garra Brazilian Jiu Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1650
If they lose-24→ 1602
If they win+24→ 1653
If they lose-24→ 1605
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1528 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Camillo AvellanWilson Lopshire
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Camillo Avellan60%
Wilson Lopshire 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Camillo Avellan a 60% favorite over Wilson Lopshire in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Wilson Lopshire's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1626 vs 1629), separated by just 3 points.
Camillo Avellan enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Camillo Avellan finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Wilson Lopshire 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.