Camillo Avellan vs Wilson Lopshire
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-0-0Record7-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'11"
-Reach72"
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
H2O MMA· 1611 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamGarra Brazilian Jiu Jitsu
What's at stake
Camillo Avellan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Wilson Lopshire carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1673
If they lose-26→ 1625
If they win+26→ 1652
If they lose-22→ 1604
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1535 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Camillo AvellanWilson Lopshire
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Camillo Avellan72%
Wilson Lopshire 28%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Camillo Avellan a 72% favorite over Wilson Lopshire in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Camillo Avellan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1651 to 1626, a 25-point edge.
Camillo Avellan enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Camillo Avellan finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Wilson Lopshire 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.