Caolán Loughran vs Taylor Lapilus
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record25-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
68"Reach73"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team KaobonTeamMMA Factory
What's at stake
Taylor Lapilus is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Caolán Loughran carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1667
If they lose-11→ 1635
If they win+11→ 1766
If they lose-21→ 1734
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1600 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1640 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Caolán LoughranTaylor Lapilus
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Taylor Lapilus67%
Caolán Loughran 33%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Taylor Lapilus a 67% favorite over Caolán Loughran in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Taylor Lapilus holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1755 to 1646, a 109-point edge.
Taylor Lapilus enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Caolán Loughran finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Taylor Lapilus 44%.
Caolán Loughran and Taylor Lapilus share 1 common opponent: Jake Hadley.
Taylor Lapilus carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.