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Combat Edge Intelligence

Caol Uno vs Fabiano Iha

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Caol Uno
jp

Caol Uno

34-23-5FeatherweightShooto

1563Solid

Tale of the tape

34-23-5Record10-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Uno DojoTeam

What's at stake

Fabiano Iha is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Caol Uno carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Caol UnoNow 1563
If they win+14→ 1577
If they lose-10→ 1553
Fabiano IhaNow 1611
If they win+14→ 1625
If they lose-18→ 1593

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1503 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.15
Sig. strikes / min
1.73
55%
Strike accuracy
47%
2.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.49
51%
Strike defense
43%
2.42
Takedown avg.
2.88
31%
Takedown accuracy
40%
38%
Takedown defense
50%
0.24
Submission avg.
2.88

Trajectory

Caol UnoFabiano Iha
1550160020042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

3 (9%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
18 (53%)
Submission
7 (70%)
13 (38%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Caol Uno59%
Fabiano Iha 41%Elo baseline: 43%

The Combat Edge model makes Caol Uno a 59% favorite over Fabiano Iha in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Fabiano Iha's way (43%).

Fabiano Iha holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1611 to 1563, a 48-point edge.

Caol Uno enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Fabiano Iha enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Caol Uno finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Fabiano Iha 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.