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Combat Edge Intelligence

Caol Uno vs Fabricio Camoes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Caol Uno
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Caol Uno

34-23-5FeatherweightShooto

1563Solid

Tale of the tape

34-23-5Record14-9-1
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'9"
TBDReach39,5"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Uno DojoTeamGracie Humaita

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Caol UnoNow 1563
If they win+12→ 1575
If they lose-12→ 1551
Fabricio CamoesNow 1572
If they win+12→ 1584
If they lose-12→ 1560

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1503 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.15
Sig. strikes / min
1.29
55%
Strike accuracy
33%
2.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.85
51%
Strike defense
61%
2.42
Takedown avg.
2.34
31%
Takedown accuracy
32%
38%
Takedown defense
20%
0.24
Submission avg.
1.46

Trajectory

Caol UnoFabricio Camoes
1550160020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

3 (9%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
18 (53%)
Submission
7 (50%)
13 (38%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Caol Uno51%
Fabricio Camoes 49%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Caol Uno a 51% favorite over Fabricio Camoes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Fabricio Camoes's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1563 vs 1572), separated by just 9 points.

Caol Uno enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Fabricio Camoes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Caol Uno finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Fabricio Camoes 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.