Combat Edge Intelligence

Caol Uno vs Gleison Tibau

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Caol Uno
jp

Caol Uno

34-23-5FeatherweightShooto

1563Solid

Tale of the tape

34-23-5Record38-19-0
FeatherweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height5'10"
TBDReach71,0"
145 lbsWeight170 lbs
Uno DojoTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Gleison Tibau is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Caol Uno carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Caol UnoNow 1563
If they win+16→ 1579
If they lose-8→ 1555
Gleison TibauNow 1675
If they win+8→ 1683
If they lose-16→ 1659

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1493 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.15
Sig. strikes / min
1.95
55%
Strike accuracy
32%
2.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.51
51%
Strike defense
63%
2.42
Takedown avg.
4.08
31%
Takedown accuracy
54%
38%
Takedown defense
92%
0.24
Submission avg.
0.83

Trajectory

Caol UnoGleison Tibau
1550160016501700202220232024

Win method breakdown

3 (9%)
KO/TKO
4 (11%)
18 (53%)
Submission
15 (39%)
13 (38%)
Decision
19 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Gleison Tibau78%
Caol Uno 22%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Gleison Tibau a 78% favorite over Caol Uno in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Gleison Tibau holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1675 to 1563, a 112-point edge.

Caol Uno enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Caol Uno finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Gleison Tibau 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.