Caol Uno vs Gleison Tibau
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
34-23-5Record40-20-0
FeatherweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height5'10"
TBDReach71"
145 lbsWeight170 lbs
Uno DojoTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Gleison Tibau is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Caol Uno carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1578
If they lose-9→ 1554
If they win+9→ 1668
If they lose-15→ 1644
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1503 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Caol UnoGleison Tibau
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gleison Tibau82%
Caol Uno 18%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Gleison Tibau a 82% favorite over Caol Uno in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Gleison Tibau holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1659 to 1563, a 96-point edge.
Caol Uno enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Caol Uno finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Gleison Tibau 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.