Combat Edge Intelligence

Caol Uno vs Hermes Franca

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Caol Uno
jp

Caol Uno

34-23-5FeatherweightShooto

1563Solid

Tale of the tape

34-23-5Record26-20-0
FeatherweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight170 lbs
Uno DojoTeamVictory MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Caol UnoNow 1563
If they win+12→ 1575
If they lose-12→ 1551
Hermes FrancaNow 1550
If they win+12→ 1562
If they lose-12→ 1538

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1493 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.15
Sig. strikes / min
1.78
55%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.85
51%
Strike defense
55%
2.42
Takedown avg.
1.53
31%
Takedown accuracy
36%
38%
Takedown defense
38%
0.24
Submission avg.
2.38

Trajectory

Caol UnoHermes Franca
15501600201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

3 (9%)
KO/TKO
8 (31%)
18 (53%)
Submission
15 (58%)
13 (38%)
Decision
3 (12%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Caol Uno and Hermes Franca within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1563 vs 1550), separated by just 13 points.

Caol Uno enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Hermes Franca enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Caol Uno finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Hermes Franca 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.