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Combat Edge Intelligence

Caol Uno vs Spencer Fisher

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Caol Uno
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Caol Uno

34-23-5FeatherweightShooto

1563Solid

Tale of the tape

34-23-5Record24-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'7"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Uno DojoTeam

What's at stake

Spencer Fisher is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Caol Uno carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Caol UnoNow 1563
If they win+15→ 1578
If they lose-9→ 1554
Spencer FisherNow 1653
If they win+9→ 1662
If they lose-15→ 1638

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1503 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.15
Sig. strikes / min
3.17
55%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.03
51%
Strike defense
64%
2.42
Takedown avg.
0.67
31%
Takedown accuracy
30%
38%
Takedown defense
60%
0.24
Submission avg.
0.75

Trajectory

Caol UnoSpencer Fisher
155016001650170020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

3 (9%)
KO/TKO
10 (42%)
18 (53%)
Submission
9 (38%)
13 (38%)
Decision
5 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Spencer Fisher70%
Caol Uno 30%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Spencer Fisher a 70% favorite over Caol Uno in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Spencer Fisher holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1653 to 1563, a 90-point edge.

Caol Uno enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Spencer Fisher enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Caol Uno finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Spencer Fisher 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.