Caolán Loughran vs Ivan Menjivar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record25-12-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
68"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team KaobonTeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630
If they win+12→ 1658
If they lose-12→ 1634
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1600 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Caolán LoughranIvan Menjivar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Caolán Loughran71%
Ivan Menjivar 29%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Caolán Loughran a 71% favorite over Ivan Menjivar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1646), separated by just 0 points.
Ivan Menjivar enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Caolán Loughran finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Ivan Menjivar 76%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.