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Combat Edge Intelligence

Caolán Loughran vs Jonathan Pearce

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record14-7-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'11"
68"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team KaobonTeamFight Ready

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Caolán LoughranNow 1651
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
Jonathan PearceNow 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1668 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.87
Sig. strikes / min
5.12
45%
Strike accuracy
55%
5.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.32
55%
Strike defense
54%
5
Takedown avg.
5.02
42%
Takedown accuracy
50%
0%
Takedown defense
56%
0
Submission avg.
0.76

Trajectory

Caolán LoughranJonathan Pearce
1650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
9 (64%)
3 (27%)
Submission
2 (14%)
3 (27%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Caolán Loughran59%
Jonathan Pearce 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Caolán Loughran a 59% favorite over Jonathan Pearce in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jonathan Pearce's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1651 vs 1652), separated by just 1 points.

Jonathan Pearce enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Caolán Loughran finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Jonathan Pearce 79%.

Jonathan Pearce carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.