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Combat Edge Intelligence

Caolán Loughran vs Samuel Bark

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Samuel Bark
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Samuel Bark

“Sammon Decker”

13-4-0FeatherweightOKMMA

1652Good

Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record13-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'9"
68"Reach-
135 lbsWeight146 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Caolán LoughranNow 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
Samuel BarkNow 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.87
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
45%
Strike accuracy
Not available
5.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
55%
Strike defense
Not available
5
Takedown avg.
Not available
42%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
0%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Caolán LoughranSamuel Bark
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
6 (46%)
3 (27%)
Submission
1 (8%)
3 (27%)
Decision
6 (46%)

Combat Edge model read

Caolán Loughran63%
Samuel Bark 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Caolán Loughran a 63% favorite over Samuel Bark in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1652), separated by just 0 points.

Samuel Bark enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Caolán Loughran finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Samuel Bark 54%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.