Cara Greenwell vs Isabela de Padua
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-2-0Record7-5-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'4"
69"Reach36,0"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Team Impact TulsaTeamTeam Nikolai MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1551
If they lose-24→ 1503
If they win+16→ 1548
If they lose-16→ 1516
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cara GreenwellIsabela de Padua
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cara Greenwell66%
Isabela de Padua 34%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Cara Greenwell a 66% favorite over Isabela de Padua in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Isabela de Padua's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1527 vs 1532), separated by just 5 points.
Isabela de Padua enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Cara Greenwell finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Isabela de Padua 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.