Cara Greenwell vs Jinh Yu Frey
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-2-0Record11-10-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'2"
69"Reach65"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Team Impact TulsaTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1550
If they lose-25→ 1502
If they win+16→ 1535
If they lose-16→ 1503
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cara GreenwellJinh Yu Frey
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cara Greenwell70%
Jinh Yu Frey 30%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Cara Greenwell a 70% favorite over Jinh Yu Frey in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1527 vs 1519), separated by just 8 points.
Jinh Yu Frey enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Cara Greenwell finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jinh Yu Frey 27%.
Cara Greenwell carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.