Cara Greenwell vs Keito Oyama
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-2-0Record10-8-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'5"
69"ReachTBD
115 lbsWeight112 lbs
Team Impact TulsaTeamFreelance· 1581 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1551
If they lose-24→ 1503
If they win+16→ 1546
If they lose-16→ 1514
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1509 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cara GreenwellKeito Oyama
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cara Greenwell54%
Keito Oyama 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Cara Greenwell a 54% favorite over Keito Oyama in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Keito Oyama's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1527 vs 1530), separated by just 3 points.
Cara Greenwell finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Keito Oyama 40%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.