Cara Greenwell vs Polyana Viana
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-2-0Record13-9-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'7"
69"Reach67"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Team Impact TulsaTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1552
If they lose-23→ 1504
If they win+15→ 1556
If they lose-17→ 1524
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cara GreenwellPolyana Viana
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cara Greenwell70%
Polyana Viana 30%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Cara Greenwell a 70% favorite over Polyana Viana in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Polyana Viana's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1527 vs 1541), separated by just 14 points.
Polyana Viana enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Cara Greenwell finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Polyana Viana 100%.
Cara Greenwell carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.