Carina Damm vs Djulia Ariana
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-15-0Record5-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'7"
TBDReach66"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Top TeamTeamUdi Lima Team
What's at stake
Djulia Ariana is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Carina Damm carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1541
If they lose-11→ 1517
If they win+23→ 1566
If they lose-25→ 1518
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carina DammDjulia Ariana
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Djulia Ariana71%
Carina Damm 29%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Djulia Ariana a 71% favorite over Carina Damm in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Djulia Ariana holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1543 to 1528, a 15-point edge.
Carina Damm enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Carina Damm finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Djulia Ariana 40%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.