Combat Edge Intelligence

Carl Jones vs Daron Cruickshank

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Carl Jones

Carl Jones

“The Chief”

6-1-0LightweightCWFC

1604Solid

Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record23-14-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
TBDHeight5'8"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamMichigan Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carl JonesNow 1604
If they win+24→ 1628
If they lose-24→ 1580
Daron CruickshankNow 1602
If they win+12→ 1614
If they lose-12→ 1590

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.88
TBD
Strike accuracy
38%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.98
TBD
Strike defense
57%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.04
TBD
Takedown accuracy
42%
TBD
Takedown defense
60%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.23

Trajectory

Carl JonesDaron Cruickshank
1600165020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (83%)
KO/TKO
14 (61%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (9%)
1 (17%)
Decision
7 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Carl Jones66%
Daron Cruickshank 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Carl Jones a 66% favorite over Daron Cruickshank in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1602), separated by just 2 points.

Carl Jones finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Daron Cruickshank 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.