Carl Jones vs Darrell Horcher
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-1-0Record14-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
TBDHeight5'10"
-Reach72,0"
155 lbsWeight154 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamUnrivaled Athletics
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1628
If they lose-24→ 1580
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1508 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1620 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carl JonesDarrell Horcher
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carl Jones63%
Darrell Horcher 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Carl Jones a 63% favorite over Darrell Horcher in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Darrell Horcher's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1605), separated by just 1 points.
Darrell Horcher enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Carl Jones finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Darrell Horcher 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.