Carl Jones vs Mike Breeden
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
6-1-0Record11-6-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
TBDHeight5'10"
-Reach70"
155 lbsWeight160 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamMarathon MMA· 1645 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1629
If they lose-24→ 1581
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Carl JonesMike Breeden
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mike Breeden53%
Carl Jones 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mike Breeden a 53% favorite over Carl Jones in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Carl Jones's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1605 vs 1604), separated by just 1 points.
Carl Jones finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Mike Breeden 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.