Combat Edge Intelligence

Carl Seumanutafa vs Sean Rose

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-16-0Record2-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
TBDReachN/A
261 lbsWeight264 lbs
Skrap PackTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carl SeumanutafaNow 1482
If they win+12→ 1494
If they lose-12→ 1470
Sean RoseNow 1472
If they win+25→ 1497
If they lose-23→ 1449

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Carl SeumanutafaSean Rose
14501500202220232024

Win method breakdown

11 (79%)
KO/TKO
2 (100%)
1 (7%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (14%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Sean Rose64%
Carl Seumanutafa 36%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Sean Rose a 64% favorite over Carl Seumanutafa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Carl Seumanutafa's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1482 vs 1472), separated by just 10 points.

Carl Seumanutafa finishes 86% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.