Carla Esparza vs Claudia Gadelha
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-8-0Record18-5-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'1"Height5'3"
63"ReachTBD
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Team Oyama· 1645 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamLuttrell-Yee MMA
What's at stake
Claudia Gadelha is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Carla Esparza carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1675
If they lose-14→ 1643
If they win+14→ 1713
If they lose-18→ 1681
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1692 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1645 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carla EsparzaClaudia Gadelha
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Claudia Gadelha75%
Carla Esparza 25%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Claudia Gadelha a 75% favorite over Carla Esparza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Claudia Gadelha holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1699 to 1657, a 42-point edge.
Carla Esparza enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Carla Esparza finishes 42% of wins inside the distance, Claudia Gadelha 50%.
Carla Esparza and Claudia Gadelha share 1 common opponent: Xiaonan Yan.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.