Carla Esparza vs Randa Markos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
19-8-0Record11-11-1
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'1"Height5'5"
63"ReachTBD
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Team OyamaTeamMichigan Top Team
What's at stake
Carla Esparza is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Randa Markos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1669
If they lose-20→ 1637
If they win+20→ 1577
If they lose-12→ 1545
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1692 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1634 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carla EsparzaRanda Markos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carla Esparza66%
Randa Markos 34%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Carla Esparza a 66% favorite over Randa Markos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Carla Esparza holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1657 to 1557, a 100-point edge.
Carla Esparza enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Carla Esparza finishes 42% of wins inside the distance, Randa Markos 36%.
Carla Esparza and Randa Markos share 2 common opponents: Marina Rodriguez and Claudia Gadelha.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.