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Combat Edge Intelligence

Carla Esparza vs Shanelle Dyer

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-8-0Record8-1-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'1"Height5'6"
63"Reach65"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Team Oyama· 1643 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamGreat Britain Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carla EsparzaNow 1657
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641
Shanelle DyerNow 1656
If they win+24→ 1680
If they lose-24→ 1632

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1693 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.19
Sig. strikes / min
7.71
39%
Strike accuracy
47%
2.87
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.72
54%
Strike defense
51%
3.28
Takedown avg.
0.70
36%
Takedown accuracy
8%
47%
Takedown defense
100%
0.27
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Carla EsparzaShanelle Dyer
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (21%)
KO/TKO
6 (75%)
4 (21%)
Submission
0 (0%)
11 (58%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Carla Esparza and Shanelle Dyer within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1657 vs 1656), separated by just 1 points.

Carla Esparza enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Shanelle Dyer enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Carla Esparza finishes 42% of wins inside the distance, Shanelle Dyer 75%.

Shanelle Dyer carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.