Combat Edge Intelligence

Carli Judice vs Juliana Miller

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record5-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'7"
68"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Headkicks MMATeam10th Planet San Diego

What's at stake

Carli Judice is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +17 while a loss costs more — Juliana Miller carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Carli JudiceNow 1654
If they win+17→ 1671
If they lose-31→ 1623
Juliana MillerNow 1556
If they win+31→ 1587
If they lose-17→ 1539

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

9.32
Sig. strikes / min
2.65
51%
Strike accuracy
40%
6.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.14
57%
Strike defense
45%
0.52
Takedown avg.
2.16
25%
Takedown accuracy
13%
81%
Takedown defense
44%
0
Submission avg.
1.20

Trajectory

Carli JudiceJuliana Miller
1500155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (86%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (60%)
1 (14%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Carli Judice92%
Juliana Miller 8%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Carli Judice a 92% favorite over Juliana Miller in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Carli Judice holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1654 to 1556, a 98-point edge.

Carli Judice enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Carli Judice finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Juliana Miller 80%.

Carli Judice carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.