Combat Edge Intelligence

Carli Judice vs Kanako Murata

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record12-3-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'7"Height5'1"
68"Reach34,0"
125 lbsWeight115 lbs
Headkicks MMATeamCombat Sports Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carli JudiceNow 1654
If they win+24→ 1678
If they lose-24→ 1630
Kanako MurataNow 1654
If they win+16→ 1670
If they lose-16→ 1638

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

9.32
Sig. strikes / min
2.15
51%
Strike accuracy
57%
6.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.40
57%
Strike defense
53%
0.52
Takedown avg.
3.38
25%
Takedown accuracy
56%
81%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0.75

Trajectory

Carli JudiceKanako Murata
1550160016501700202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (86%)
KO/TKO
2 (17%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (33%)
1 (14%)
Decision
6 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Carli Judice78%
Kanako Murata 22%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Carli Judice a 78% favorite over Kanako Murata in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1654 vs 1654), separated by just 0 points.

Carli Judice enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Kanako Murata enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Carli Judice finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Kanako Murata 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.