Carli Judice vs Ketlen Souza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record17-6-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'7"Height5'2"
68"Reach63"
125 lbsWeight115 lbs
Headkicks MMATeamCarioca Academy· 1606 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1678
If they lose-24→ 1630
If they win+16→ 1663
If they lose-16→ 1631
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1557 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carli JudiceKetlen Souza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carli Judice76%
Ketlen Souza 24%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Carli Judice a 76% favorite over Ketlen Souza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1654 vs 1647), separated by just 7 points.
Carli Judice enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Ketlen Souza enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Carli Judice finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Ketlen Souza 65%.
Carli Judice carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.