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Combat Edge Intelligence

Carli Judice vs Marina Rodriguez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record17-6-2
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'7"Height5'7"
68"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight115 lbs
Headkicks MMATeamThai Brasil· 1655 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carli JudiceNow 1654
If they win+24→ 1678
If they lose-24→ 1630
Marina RodriguezNow 1652
If they win+12→ 1664
If they lose-12→ 1640

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1664 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

9.32
Sig. strikes / min
4.64
51%
Strike accuracy
47%
6.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.04
57%
Strike defense
56%
0.52
Takedown avg.
0.28
25%
Takedown accuracy
50%
81%
Takedown defense
63%
0
Submission avg.
0.21

Trajectory

Carli JudiceMarina Rodriguez
15501600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (86%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (6%)
1 (14%)
Decision
9 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Carli Judice and Marina Rodriguez within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1654 vs 1652), separated by just 2 points.

Carli Judice enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Marina Rodriguez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Carli Judice finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Marina Rodriguez 47%.

Carli Judice carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.