Carli Judice vs Tecia Pennington
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record15-8-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'7"Height5'1"
68"Reach60″
125 lbsWeight115 lbs
Headkicks MMATeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1678
If they lose-24→ 1630
If they win+16→ 1674
If they lose-16→ 1642
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1557 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carli JudiceTecia Pennington
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carli Judice83%
Tecia Pennington 17%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Carli Judice a 83% favorite over Tecia Pennington in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tecia Pennington's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1654 vs 1658), separated by just 4 points.
Carli Judice enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Carli Judice finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Tecia Pennington 13%.
Carli Judice carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.