Carlo Pedersoli vs Magomed Umalov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-5-0Record2-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"HeightTBD
40.00ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Aurora MMA· 1562 avg Elo · 14 ratedTeamFree Fight Academy· 1536 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1561
If they lose-24→ 1513
If they win+24→ 1561
If they lose-24→ 1513
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1606 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Carlo PedersoliMagomed Umalov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Magomed Umalov55%
Carlo Pedersoli 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Umalov a 55% favorite over Carlo Pedersoli in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Carlo Pedersoli's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1537 vs 1537), separated by just 0 points.
Magomed Umalov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Carlo Pedersoli finishes 71% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.