Carlo Pedersoli vs Michael Dubois
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-5-0Record15-13-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
40.00Reach70"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Aurora MMATeamStrike Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1541
If they lose-24→ 1493
If they win+12→ 1530
If they lose-12→ 1506
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1669 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1499 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carlo PedersoliMichael Dubois
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Carlo Pedersoli and Michael Dubois within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1517 vs 1518), separated by just 1 points.
Michael Dubois enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Carlo Pedersoli finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Michael Dubois 87%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.