Carlo Pedersoli vs Shinji Sasaki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-5-0Record20-15-3
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'9"
40.00Reach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Aurora MMA· 1580 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamBurst
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1541
If they lose-24→ 1493
If they win+16→ 1529
If they lose-16→ 1497
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1669 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carlo PedersoliShinji Sasaki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carlo Pedersoli66%
Shinji Sasaki 34%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Carlo Pedersoli a 66% favorite over Shinji Sasaki in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1517 vs 1513), separated by just 4 points.
Shinji Sasaki enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Carlo Pedersoli finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Shinji Sasaki 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.