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Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlo Prater vs Danilo Belluardo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

35-25-1Record13-7-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
TBDReach74,5"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Neo DojoTeamAurora MMA· 1567 avg Elo · 13 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlo PraterNow 1538
If they win+12→ 1550
If they lose-12→ 1526
Danilo BelluardoNow 1535
If they win+16→ 1551
If they lose-16→ 1519

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.03
Sig. strikes / min
1.52
47%
Strike accuracy
62%
4.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.79
35%
Strike defense
41%
0.43
Takedown avg.
3.50
9%
Takedown accuracy
100%
57%
Takedown defense
50%
1.72
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Carlo PraterDanilo Belluardo
155016002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (6%)
KO/TKO
7 (54%)
19 (58%)
Submission
3 (23%)
12 (36%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Danilo Belluardo55%
Carlo Prater 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Danilo Belluardo a 55% favorite over Carlo Prater in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Carlo Prater's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1538 vs 1535), separated by just 3 points.

Carlo Prater enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Carlo Prater finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Danilo Belluardo 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.