Carlo Prater vs Erick Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
35-25-1Record20-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
TBDReach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Neo DojoTeamTeam Nogueira· 1598 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
Erick Silva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Carlo Prater carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1551
If they lose-11→ 1527
If they win+15→ 1572
If they lose-17→ 1540
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1656 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Carlo PraterErick Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Erick Silva63%
Carlo Prater 37%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Erick Silva a 63% favorite over Carlo Prater in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Erick Silva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1557 to 1538, a 19-point edge.
Carlo Prater enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Erick Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Carlo Prater finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Erick Silva 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.