Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlo Prater vs Erick Silva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Erick Silva
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Erick Silva

“A Fierce Tiger”

20-11-0WelterweightBFC

1575Solid

Tale of the tape

35-25-1Record20-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
TBDReach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Neo DojoTeamTeam Nogueira

What's at stake

Erick Silva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Carlo Prater carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Carlo PraterNow 1535
If they win+13→ 1548
If they lose-11→ 1524
Erick SilvaNow 1575
If they win+14→ 1589
If they lose-18→ 1557

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1652 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.03
Sig. strikes / min
2.50
47%
Strike accuracy
49%
4.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.18
35%
Strike defense
50%
0.43
Takedown avg.
0.85
9%
Takedown accuracy
35%
57%
Takedown defense
57%
1.72
Submission avg.
1.41

Trajectory

Carlo PraterErick Silva
1550160020172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (6%)
KO/TKO
4 (20%)
19 (58%)
Submission
13 (65%)
12 (36%)
Decision
3 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Erick Silva72%
Carlo Prater 28%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Erick Silva a 72% favorite over Carlo Prater in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Erick Silva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1575 to 1535, a 40-point edge.

Carlo Prater enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Erick Silva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Carlo Prater finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Erick Silva 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.