Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlo Prater vs Marcus LeVesseur

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

35-25-1Record22-7-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Neo DojoTeamMinnesota Fight Factory

What's at stake

Marcus LeVesseur is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Carlo Prater carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Carlo PraterNow 1530
If they win+15→ 1545
If they lose-9→ 1521
Marcus LeVesseurNow 1626
If they win+9→ 1635
If they lose-15→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.03
Sig. strikes / min
2.55
47%
Strike accuracy
64%
4.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.70
35%
Strike defense
38%
0.43
Takedown avg.
3.89
9%
Takedown accuracy
37%
57%
Takedown defense
83%
1.72
Submission avg.
0.56

Trajectory

Carlo PraterMarcus LeVesseur
15501600165020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (6%)
KO/TKO
10 (45%)
19 (58%)
Submission
7 (32%)
12 (36%)
Decision
5 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcus LeVesseur75%
Carlo Prater 25%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcus LeVesseur a 75% favorite over Carlo Prater in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Marcus LeVesseur holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1626 to 1530, a 96-point edge.

Carlo Prater enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Carlo Prater finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Marcus LeVesseur 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.