Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlo Prater vs Shaheen Santana

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

35-25-1Record8-3-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight148 lbs
Neo DojoTeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlo PraterNow 1539
If they win+12→ 1551
If they lose-12→ 1527
Shaheen SantanaNow 1545
If they win+16→ 1561
If they lose-16→ 1529

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.03
Sig. strikes / min
0.82
47%
Strike accuracy
43%
4.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.65
35%
Strike defense
40%
0.43
Takedown avg.
0
9%
Takedown accuracy
0%
57%
Takedown defense
0%
1.72
Submission avg.
2.75

Trajectory

Carlo PraterShaheen Santana
1550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (6%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
19 (58%)
Submission
6 (75%)
12 (36%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Shaheen Santana70%
Carlo Prater 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Shaheen Santana a 70% favorite over Carlo Prater in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1539 vs 1545), separated by just 6 points.

Carlo Prater enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Shaheen Santana enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Carlo Prater finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Shaheen Santana 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.