Carlo Prater vs TJ Grant
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
35-25-1Record21-5-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Neo DojoTeamFit Plus
What's at stake
TJ Grant is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Carlo Prater carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1554
If they lose-8→ 1530
If they win+11→ 1664
If they lose-21→ 1632
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1648 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Carlo PraterTJ Grant
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
TJ Grant61%
Carlo Prater 39%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes TJ Grant a 61% favorite over Carlo Prater in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
TJ Grant holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1653 to 1538, a 115-point edge.
Carlo Prater enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
TJ Grant enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Carlo Prater finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, TJ Grant 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.