Carlos Anaya vs Giovanni Fernandez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record3-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight133 lbs
What's at stake
Carlos Anaya is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Giovanni Fernandez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1497
If they lose-27→ 1449
If they win+27→ 1453
If they lose-21→ 1405
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1501 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carlos AnayaGiovanni Fernandez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carlos Anaya79%
Giovanni Fernandez 21%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Anaya a 79% favorite over Giovanni Fernandez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Carlos Anaya holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1476 to 1426, a 50-point edge.
Giovanni Fernandez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Giovanni Fernandez 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.