Carlos Calderon vs Firas Daud
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Carlos Calderon and Firas Daud within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1613), separated by just 1 points.
Carlos Calderon finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Firas Daud 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
11-5-0Record4-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'10"
71"Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Havoc MMATeamFight Club Gelsenkirchen· 1575 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
If they win+24→ 1637
If they lose-24→ 1589
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Carlos CalderonFiras Daud