Carlos Condit vs Daniel Rodriguez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
32-14-0Record20-6-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
75"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight184 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeam10th Planet Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1742
If they lose-12→ 1718
If they win+12→ 1743
If they lose-12→ 1719
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1699 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1722 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carlos ConditDaniel Rodriguez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Daniel Rodriguez66%
Carlos Condit 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Rodriguez a 66% favorite over Carlos Condit in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1730 vs 1731), separated by just 1 points.
Carlos Condit finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Daniel Rodriguez 65%.
Carlos Condit and Daniel Rodriguez share 1 common opponent: Neil Magny.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.