Carlos Condit vs Dong Hyun Ma
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
32-14-0Record16-11-3
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'11"
75"Reach70.50
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamBusan Team MAD
What's at stake
Carlos Condit is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Dong Hyun Ma carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1738
If they lose-16→ 1714
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-8→ 1607
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1699 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1645 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carlos ConditDong Hyun Ma
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carlos Condit70%
Dong Hyun Ma 30%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Condit a 70% favorite over Dong Hyun Ma in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Carlos Condit holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1730 to 1615, a 115-point edge.
Dong Hyun Ma enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Carlos Condit finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Dong Hyun Ma 75%.
Carlos Condit carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.