Carlos Condit vs Erivan Pereira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
32-14-0Record20-3-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'11"
75"Reach-
170 lbsWeight172 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamFive Rounds Brasil
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1742
If they lose-12→ 1718
If they win+16→ 1746
If they lose-16→ 1714
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1699 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Carlos ConditErivan Pereira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carlos Condit59%
Erivan Pereira 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Condit a 59% favorite over Erivan Pereira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1730 vs 1730), separated by just 0 points.
Erivan Pereira enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Carlos Condit finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Erivan Pereira 45%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.