Carlos Condit vs Georges St-Pierre
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
32-14-0Record26-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'10"
75"Reach76"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
Georges St-Pierre is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Carlos Condit carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1744
If they lose-10→ 1720
If they win+10→ 1805
If they lose-14→ 1781
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1699 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1742 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carlos ConditGeorges St-Pierre
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Georges St-Pierre66%
Carlos Condit 34%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Georges St-Pierre a 66% favorite over Carlos Condit in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Georges St-Pierre holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1795 to 1730, a 65-point edge.
Georges St-Pierre enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Carlos Condit finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Georges St-Pierre 54%.
Carlos Condit and Georges St-Pierre share 1 common opponent: Thiago Alves.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.