Carlos Condit vs Martin Kampmann
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
32-14-0Record20-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
75"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Carlos Condit is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Martin Kampmann carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1739
If they lose-15→ 1715
If they win+20→ 1654
If they lose-12→ 1622
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1699 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1717 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carlos ConditMartin Kampmann
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carlos Condit72%
Martin Kampmann 28%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Condit a 72% favorite over Martin Kampmann in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Carlos Condit holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1730 to 1634, a 96-point edge.
Martin Kampmann enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Carlos Condit finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Martin Kampmann 79%.
Carlos Condit and Martin Kampmann share 1 common opponent: Thiago Alves.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.