Carlos Condit vs Max Griffin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
32-14-0Record20-13-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
75"Reach76"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamMMAGOLD Fight Team
What's at stake
Carlos Condit is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Max Griffin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1740
If they lose-14→ 1716
If they win+14→ 1683
If they lose-10→ 1659
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1699 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1701 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carlos ConditMax Griffin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carlos Condit57%
Max Griffin 43%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Condit a 57% favorite over Max Griffin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Carlos Condit holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1730 to 1669, a 61-point edge.
Max Griffin enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Carlos Condit finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Max Griffin 55%.
Carlos Condit and Max Griffin share 2 common opponents: Michael Chiesa and Neil Magny.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.