Carlos Condit vs Neil Magny
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
32-14-0Record32-14-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'3"
75"Reach80"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
Neil Magny is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Carlos Condit carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1743
If they lose-11→ 1719
If they win+11→ 1779
If they lose-13→ 1755
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1699 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1734 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carlos ConditNeil Magny
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Neil Magny84%
Carlos Condit 16%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Neil Magny a 84% favorite over Carlos Condit in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Neil Magny holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1768 to 1730, a 38-point edge.
Carlos Condit finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Neil Magny 47%.
Neil Magny carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.