Carlos Condit vs Robbie Lawler
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
32-14-0Record30-16-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
75"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Robbie Lawler is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Carlos Condit carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1744
If they lose-10→ 1720
If they win+10→ 1798
If they lose-14→ 1774
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1699 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1760 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carlos ConditRobbie Lawler
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Robbie Lawler58%
Carlos Condit 42%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Robbie Lawler a 58% favorite over Carlos Condit in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Robbie Lawler holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1788 to 1730, a 58-point edge.
Carlos Condit finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Robbie Lawler 77%.
Carlos Condit and Robbie Lawler share 2 common opponents: Neil Magny and Tyron Woodley.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.